Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.034616 0.040634 0.046875 0.053792 0.061210 0.068892 0.077419
2025-11-02 0.025354 0.034003 0.043542 0.054663 0.067114 0.080487 0.095807
2025-11-09 0.018945 0.028892 0.040493 0.054596 0.070916 0.088909 0.109970
2025-11-16 0.013398 0.023657 0.036365 0.052462 0.071663 0.093319 0.119130
2025-11-23 0.009367 0.019517 0.032915 0.050568 0.072212 0.097108 0.127232
2025-11-30 0.007263 0.017559 0.031893 0.051366 0.075724 0.104133 0.138865
2025-12-07 0.005755 0.016157 0.031387 0.052638 0.079673 0.111564 0.150878
2025-12-14 0.004787 0.015405 0.031640 0.054788 0.084625 0.120126 0.164164
2025-12-21 0.003654 0.014094 0.030937 0.055563 0.087778 0.126475 0.174800
2025-12-28 0.003513 0.014615 0.032912 0.059916 0.095436 0.138249 0.191845
2026-01-04 0.002224 0.012440 0.030628 0.058349 0.095473 0.140722 0.197808
2026-01-11 0.001638 0.011579 0.030270 0.059362 0.098762 0.147114 0.208404
2026-01-18 0.001013 0.010359 0.029313 0.059616 0.101233 0.152736 0.218389
2026-01-25 0.000615 0.009508 0.028891 0.060614 0.104696 0.159627 0.229974
2026-02-01 0.000265 0.008358 0.027803 0.060556 0.106705 0.164675 0.239310
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.006617 0.025358 0.058303 0.105651 0.165792 0.243787
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005175 0.023191 0.056301 0.104818 0.167102 0.248428
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004673 0.022879 0.057145 0.107856 0.173306 0.259056
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004345 0.022898 0.058490 0.111576 0.180372 0.270742
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004273 0.023491 0.060760 0.116586 0.189097 0.284481
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003861 0.023213 0.061578 0.119545 0.195175 0.294941
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004355 0.025209 0.066168 0.127832 0.208136 0.313944
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003415 0.023475 0.064517 0.127273 0.209656 0.318742